Category: Meteorology
Post-processing improved wind-speed ensemble forecasts
—
in MeteorologyWhat the study found Post-processing generally improved both probabilistic calibration and point forecast accuracy for wind-speed ensemble forecasts. The study also found that spatial resolution was more important than ensemble size in these forecasts. Why the authors say this matters The authors conclude that forecast skill can be changed substantially by statistical calibration, which reduces…
Neural network predicts shifts in extreme weather frequency
—
in MeteorologyNeural networks leverage climate model data to predict how extreme rainfall, hail, and winds will shift geographically as climate changes, accounting for terrain effects.
Landfalling South Pacific atmospheric rivers are projected to intensify
—
in MeteorologyStudy projects atmospheric river frequency to double over South Pacific by mid-century, with robust trends emerging within 10-20 years first affecting southern New Zealand and Tasmania.
