Tag: Time series

Digitalization is linked to lower youth unemployment in Kazakhstan
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Study analyzes digitalization’s impact on youth unemployment in Kazakhstan using ARDL analysis, finding 1% Internet increase reduces youth unemployment by 0.27% in the short run.

Peru mining GDP and terms of trade show a stable long-run link
Analysis of Peru’s mining sector reveals stable long-run equilibrium with global prices, yet slow adjustment to shocks reflects structural rigidity beyond commodity cycles.

Domestic credit supports Nepal’s long-run economic growth
ARDL analysis of Nepal’s economic growth reveals domestic credit impacts GDP only long-term, while capital formation and exports drive growth across both timeframes, 1992-2023.

XGBoost outperformed ARIMA and Prophet for TB forecasting
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in MedicineXGBoost machine learning model demonstrates superior accuracy for monthly tuberculosis forecasting in coastal urban environments compared to traditional ARIMA and Prophet approaches.

Energy prices are linked to agricultural prices directly and through fertilizers
Analysis of monthly data from 1990 to 2024 shows energy prices affect wheat, maize, and soybean prices directly through fuel costs and indirectly through fertilizers.





