Tag: Scenario analysis
FORESCEM simulates fine-scale land-use and land-cover changes
What the study found The study presents FORESCEM, a process-based model for simulating fine-scale future land use and land cover changes. The authors report that, in a French case study, the model could reproduce land-use and land-cover dynamics and simulate both trend-based and trend-breaking trajectories under contrasting scenarios. Why the authors say this matters The…
Weighted scenario ensembles reduce dominance of overrepresented models
Multidimensional weighting framework for emissions scenario ensembles accounting for relevance, quality, and diversity, with application to IPCC climate scenarios.
EU agricultural assets face stranding under food shifts
Quantifies stranded-asset exposure in EU27+UK agriculture: 78% of fixed assets tied to animal-sourced food; scenarios indicate 18–77% could be stranded under dietary shifts.
